Aluno: Raquel LÓia Henriques
Resumo
Considering myself a travel passionate, I was fortunate to have the opportunity to travel
throughout the world over the years, provided by my parents. Alongside with the Air
Travel segment, the Hotel Industry, integrated into the Food and Beverage Industry
was always present. Therefore, when presented with the industry options, the
Hospitality Industry was my first choice.
Wyndham Hotels & Resorts was the selected company to perform my Master Final
Work (MFW) under the research report format recommended by the CFA (Chartered
Financial Analyst) Institute.
Under the ticket WH, Wyndham Hotels & Resorts operates in the Hotel Industry and is
present in 95 countries with nearly 790,000 rooms in 2020YE. It is considered the
biggest hotel franchiser company by number of branded hotels and the fourth largest
hotel group by the number of rooms in the world.
The recommendation for 2022YE is BUY, with a target price of $93.89/share, using
the WACC Method and implying a 29.15% upside potential from August 31st, 2021,
closing price of $72.70/share. Due to the industry volatility and its high dependence on
macroeconomic indicators, a High-Risk classification approach was chosen for the
valuation. To complement the valuation, other methods were calculated as the Flow to
Equity, the Adjusted Present Value (APV), and a market-based valuation based on a
selection of comparable companies. The uncertainty in the industry primarily cause by
COVID-19 explains the existing mispricing present in the company share price. The
evolution of COVID-19 and the future governmental policies concerning travel
restrictions, lockdowns can influence and change the recommendation.
This project is structured to enhance the investor’s understanding of the entity, the
industry where it is integrated, the recommendations and valuation methods used, and
the investment risks associated. It starts with the company business description,
followed by their type of governance and how ESG is approached. Then, an Industry
and competitive position analysis is performed, following a top-down approach.
Moreover, the recommendation is set alongside with the methods used, the main
forecast assumptions and ratio analysis. Finally, the investment risks were assessed,
along with the recommendation price sensitivity through the Monte Carlo Simulation
and the sensitivity analysis. All the public information used to perform this Equity
Research was disclosed and available as of 2021, August 31st.
Trabalho final de Mestrado