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Publications

    ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9358-7327

     

    Articles:

     

    2018 Individual Satisfaction and Economic Growth in an Agent-Based Economy, with João Silvestre and Tanya Araújo, Computational Economics, forthcoming.
     

    Economic Growth, Public, and Private Investment Returns in 17 OECD Economies, with António Afonso, Portuguese Economic Journal, forthcoming. (read it here)

     

    Useful exergy is key in obtaining plausible aggregate production functions and recognizing the role of energy in economic growth: Portugal 1960-2009, with João Santos, Tânia Sousa e Tiago Domingos, Ecological Economics, Volume 148, June, p. 103-120.

     

    Determinants of the income velocity of money in Portugal: 1891-1998, with Ana Bela Nunes, Nuno Valério and Rita Martins de Sousa, Portuguese Economic Journal, online first, p. 1-17. (read it here)

    2013

    Public and private inputs in aggregate production and growth: a cross-country efficiency approach, with António Afonso, Applied Economics, 45(32), 4487-4502.

      Hybrid modelling to support energy-clmate policy: effects of feed-in tariffs to promote renewable energy in Portugal, Energy Economics,  with Sara Proença, Volume 38, July, p. 176-185.
    2011 Assessing health efficiency across countries with a two-step and bootstrap analysis, Applied Economics Letters,  with António Afonso, Vol.18, Issue 15, p. 1427-1430.
    2010 Public and Private Investment Rates of Return: Evidence for Industrialised Countries, Applied Economics Letters,  with António Afonso, Vol.17, Issue 9, p. 839-843.
    2009 Macroeconomic Rates of Return of Public and Private Investment: Crowding-in and Crowding-out Effects", The Manchester School, with António Afonso, Supplement 2009, p. 21-39.
     

    Network effects in a human capital based economic growth model, with Teresa Vaz Martins, Tanya Araújo and Maria Augusta Santos, Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Vol. 388, Issue 11, 1 June, p. 2207-2214

      What Level of Education Matters Most for Growth? Evidence from Portugal, Economics of Education Review, with João Pereira, Vol. 28(1), p. 67-73
    2008 Education, Neighbourhood Effects and Growth: An Agent Based Approach, Advances in Complex Systems, with Tanya Araújo, Vol. 11, No. 1 February, p. 99 - 117
    2006

    How should we measure the return on public investment in a VAR?, with Álvaro Pina, Economics Bulletin, Vol. 8, No. 5 pp. 1-4

    Cross-country Efficiency of Secondary Education Provision: a Semi-parametric Analysis with Non-discretionary Inputs, with António Afonso, Economic Modelling, Vol. 23, No. 3, p. 476-491.

    2005

    Comparing Macroeconomic Returns on Human and Public Capital: An Empirical Analysis of the Portuguese Case (1960-2001), with Álvaro M. Pina, Journal of Policy Modeling, Vol. 27, No. 5, July, p.585-598

    Non-parametric Approaches to Education and Health Efficiency in OECD Countries, with António Afonso, Journal of Applied Economics, Vol. 8, No. 2, p. 227-246.

    2003 Evaluating efficiency in the Portuguese education sector, Economia, vol. 26, Janeiro/Maio/Outubro, p. 25-51.
    1999

    Convergence Across Industrialised Countries (1890-1989): New Results Using Time Series Methods, Empirical Economics, Vol. 24, No.1, pp. 23-44.

    Credit Rationing and Monetary Transmission: Evidence for Portugal, with António Afonso, Estudos de Economia, Vol. 19, No. 1, pp. 5-19.

     

    Books:

     

    2005

    Public Capital, Human Capital and Economic Growth: Portugal, 1977-2001, with Álvaro M. Pina, in Focus on Economic Growth and Productivity, Ed. L. A. Finley, Nova Science Publishers, New York..

    2004

    Portugal e o Alargamento da União Europeia - Aspectos Macroeconómicos, in O Impacto do Alargamento a Leste da União Europeia na Economia Portuguesa, Ed. Paula Fontoura and Nuno Crespo, Celta Editora.

    2001

    Macroeconomia, 2 a ed., with J. Santos, A. Pina, J. Braga and M. Teixeira, McGraw-Hill, Lisboa.

    1999

    O Impacto do Euro na Economia Portuguesa, with António Pinto Barbosa (ed.) and others, Publicações D. Quixote, Lisboa.

    1997

    "Desemprego", reporter, in Problemas Actuais da Política Económica Portuguesa: Crescimento, Desemprego, Participação na União Económica e Monetária, Conselho Económico e Social, Lisboa.

    "União Económica e Monetária", reporter, in Problemas Actuais da Política Económica Portuguesa: Crescimento, Desemprego, Participação na União Económica e Monetária, Conselho Económico e Social, Lisboa.

    1996

    Macroeconomia, Exercícios e Teoria - Caderno de Apoio, Universidade Aberta, Lisboa.

    1994

    Macroeconomia, Exercícios e Teoria, with Jorge Santos, Jacinto Braga e Manuel Teixeira, McGraw Hill Portugal, Lisboa.

     

    Working papers:

     

    2008

    Macroeconomic Rates of Return of Public and Private Investment: Crowding-in and Crowding-out Effects, with António Afonso, Documento de Trabalho WP 06/2008/DE/UECE, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    Other version: " Macroeconomic rates of return of public and private investment: crowding-in and crowding-out effects," Working Paper Series 864, European Central Bank.

    2007 Modernising Public Administration and Economic Growth, WP-01, GPEARI working papers, Ministério das Finanças e da Administração Pública, Lisboa.
    2006

    Relative Efficiency of Health Provision: a DEA Approach with Non-discretionary Inputs, with António Afonso, Documento de Trabalho WP 33/2006/DE/UECE, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    2005

    Cross-country Efficiency of Secondary Education Provision: a Semi-parametric Analysis with Nondiscretionary Inputs, with António Afonso, Documento de Trabalho WP 05/2005/DE/UECE, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    How should we measure the return of public investment in a VAR?, with Álvaro M. Pina, Documento de Trabalho WP 04/2005/DE/UECE, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    2004

    What Level of Education Matters Most for Growth? Evidence from Portugal, with João Pereira, Documento de Trabalho WP 13/2004/DE/UECE, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    Comparing Macroeconomic Returns on human and Public Capital: An Empirical Analysis of the Portuguese Case (1960-2001), with Álvaro M. Pina, Documento de Trabalho WP 07/2004/DE/UECE, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    Non-parametric Approaches to Education and Health Expenditure Efficiency in the OECD, with António Afonso, Documento de Trabalho 01/2004/DE/CISEP/UECE, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    2002 Public Capital, Human Capital and Economic Growth: Portugal, 1977-2001 , Documento de Trabalho, Departamento de Prospectiva e Planeamento, Ministério das Finanças, Lisboa, Outubro.

    2000

    Testing for Asymmetry in the Inflation-Unemployment Trade-off: Some Evidence for the US, Documento de Trabalho nº 5/2000, Departamento de Economia, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    1998

    Credit Rationing and Monetary Transmission: Evidence for Portugal, with António Afonso, Documento de Trabalho nº 7/98, Departamento de Economia, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    1997

    Is There Credit Rationing in Portuguese Banking?, with António Afonso, Documento de Trabalho nº 6/97, Departamento de Economia, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    1996

    Convergence Across Industrialised Countries (1890-1989): New results Using Time Series Methods, Documento de Trabalho nº 2/96, Departamento de Economia, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    1995

    Using the Kalman Filter to Test for Convergence: a Comparison to Other Methods Using Artificial Data, with Stephen Hall, Documento de Trabalho nº 11/95, Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

    1991

    Coordenação de Políticas Orçamentais na Europa da União Económica e Monetária, Cadernos de Económicas, Documento de Trabalho nº19/91, Departamento de Economia,  Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão, Lisboa.

     

    Conference papers:

    2007 Modernising Public Administration and Economic Growth. In ÂÂÂÂÂÂÂÂÂŽurga, G. (editor). Good Practice Cases in Slovene Public Administration Conference Proceedings. Ljubljana, Ministry of Public Administration of the Republic of Slovenia, pp. 33-44.
    2002

    Evaluating efficiency in the Portuguese health and education sectors, "Desenvolvimento Económico Português no Espaço Europeu: Determinantes e Políticas",  Banco de Portugal, Lisboa.

    2001

    NAIRU, Trend and Cycle in the Portuguese Economy - Estimation of an Observed Components Model, Communication at "IVª Conferência do CISEP sobre a Economia Portuguesa", with Manuel Mota Freitas Martins, ISEG, May.

     

    Reports:

    2005

    Investimento Público, Investimento Privado e Actividade Económica em Portugal, Relatório Final, Departamento de Prospectiva e Planeamento, Lisboa.

    2003

    Avaliação Intercalar do Impacto Macroeconómico do QCA III, with Alexandra Ferreira, Álvaro Pina, Ana Maria Dias, Emídio Lopes and Natalino Martins, Departamento de Prospectiva e Planeamento, Lisboa.