ISEG
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Matemática
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NUNO PAULO DE SOUSA ARROBAS CRATO
Publicações
- Caiado, J., Crato, N. and Peña, D. (2006). A periodogram-based metric for time series classification, Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, aceite.
- Crato, N. (2005). A mild skepticism on nonlinear forecasting: Some comments on the paper by Harvill and Ray, International Journal of Forecasting 21-4, p. 729.
- Borges, M.F., Santos, A.M.P., Crato, N., Mendes, H., and Mota, B. (2003) "
Sardine regime shifts off Portugal: a time series analysis of catches and wind conditions
", Scientia Marina 67, Suppl. 1, 235-244.
- Crato, N. and Ray, Bonnie K. (2002) "
Semi-parametric smoothing estimators for long-memory processes with added noise
", a revised version appeared in Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference 105, 283-297.
- Rammjee, R., Crato, N. and Ray, B.K. (2002) "
A note on moving average forecasts of long memory processes with an application to quality control
", a revised version appeared in International Journal of Forecasting 18, 291-297.
- Crato, N. (2000) "
Estimation of the maximal moment exponent with censored data
", a revised version appeared in Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation 29, 1239-1254.
- Costa, A.A. and Crato, N. (2000) "
Long-run versus short-run behaviour of the real exchange rates
", a revised version appeared in Applied Economics 33, 683-68.
- Gomes, C.P., Selman, B., Crato, N., and Kautz, H. (2000) "
Heavy-tailed phenomena in satisfiability and constraint satisfaction problems
", a revised version appears in Journal of Automated Reasoning, 24, 67-100. [Science Daily has an article on this research]
- Crato, N. and Ray, Bonnie K. (2000) "
Memory in returns and volatilities of commodity futures contracts
", (figures here), a revised version appeared in The Journal of Futures Markets 20-6, 525-544.
- Teles, P., Crato, N. and Wei, W.W.S. (1999) "
The use of aggregate time series in testing for long memory
", in the Bulletin of the International Statistical Institute, 52nd Session, 1999, pp. 341-342.
- Crato, N. and Dowling-DaCosta, L. (1998) "
On the behavior of some estimators for the index of stability
", NJIT-CAMS Research Report 9899-6.
- Gomes, C.P., Selman, Bart, and Crato, N. (1997) "
Heavy-Tailed distributions in combinatorial search
" in Gert Smolka (Ed.), Principles and Practice of Constraint Programming-CP 97, Lecture Notes in Computer Science 1330, Springer, 121-135.
- Crato, N. and de Lima, P. (1997) "
On the power of underdifferencing and overdifferencing tests against nearly nonstationary alternatives
" Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation 26, 1431-1446.
- Breidt, J. F., Crato, N., and de Lima, P. J. F., (1997) "
Modeling the persistent volatility of asset returns
", Proceedings of the IEEE/IAFE 1997 Conference on Computational Intelligence for Financial Engineering (CIFEr), IEEE, 266-272.
- Costa, A.A. and Crato, N. (1996) "
Testing stationarity and parity reversion: Long-run versus short-run behavior on the Portuguese real exchange rates
".
- Crato, N. and Rothman, Philip (1996) "
Measuring Hysteresis in Unemployment Rates with Long Memory Models
".
- Crato, N. and Taylor, H.M. (1996) "
Stationary persistent time series misspecified as nonstationary ARIMA
", Statistische Hefte/Statistical Papers.
- Crato, N. and Ray, Bonnie (1995) "
Some problems in the overspecification of ARMA and ARIMA processes using ARFIMA models
- Ray, B. and Crato, N. (1994) "
Model Selection and Forecasting of Long-range Dependent Processes: Results of a Simulation Study
" CAMS Report #50, NJIT, Technical Report detailing the results of our paper in Journal of Forecasting 15, 107-125 (1996).
- Wu, P. and Crato, N. (1994) "
New tests for stationarity and parity reversion: Evidence on New Zealand real exchange rates
", Empirical Economics 20, 599-613 (1995).
- Breidt, F.J., Crato, N., and de Lima, P. (1994) " On the detection and estimation of long memory in stochastic volatility ," working paper version of the work published in Journal of Econometrics 83, 325-348 (1998).
Teaching, science writing, and expository papers (em português; ver também
Personal
- "
Algumas experiências de divulgação da matemática na imprensa portuguesa
", apresentado no encontro
Teias Matemáticas
, Coimbra, Outubro de 2000.
- "
O papel dos mínimos quadrados na descoberta dos planetas
", Boletim da
Sociedade Portuguesa de Matemática
42, Maio 2000, 113-124.
- " Dez receitas (receitas?! sim, receitas!) para o sucesso na divulgação da matemática ", comunicação ao Segundo Debate sobre a Investigação da Matemática em Portugal, CIMSPM , Coimbra, Abril de 2000.
-
Base temática sobre a história da Ciência em Portugal no
Centro Virtual Camões
- Semanário Expresso