Education
2023 | Aggregation, Economy, Economics Universidade de Lisboa, ISEG (Portugal) |
2011 | Philosophiae Doctor , Economie, Economia University of Cambridge (United Kingdom) |
2008 | Master of Science, Economie, Economia Universidade de Warwick (UK) (United Kingdom) |
2006 | Bachelor of Science, Economie, Economia Fac. Econ. Univ. Nova Lisboa (Portugal) |
Publications & Citations
Year | Title / Publication | Link |
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2024 | Beyond the Centre: Tracing Decentralization’s Influence on Time-varying Fiscal Sustainability International Review of Economics & Finance |
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2023 | Minimum Wage and Collective Bargaining Shocks: A Narrative Database for Advanced Economies IZA Journal of Labor Policy |
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2023 | For Whom the Bell Tolls: Climate Change and Income Inequality Energy Policy |
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2023 | Drivers of the Tax Effort: Evidence from a Large Panel Comparative Economic Studies |
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2023 | Tax evasion from cross-border fraud: does digitalization make a difference? Applied Economics Letters |
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2022 | Twin Deficits Revisited: a role for fiscal institutions? Journal of International Money and Finance |
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2022 | Do Financial Markets Reward Government Spending Efficiency? Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money |
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2022 | To consolidate or not to consolidate? A multi-step analysis to assess needed fiscal sustainability INTERNATIONAL ECONOMICS |
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2022 | The (non-)Keynesian effects of fiscal austerity: New evidence from a large sample Economic Systems |
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2022 | Fiscal Reaction Functions in the EU: A Tale of “r-g” and Whether it Matters Revue Française d'Economie |
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2022 | This Changes Everything: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Bonds Energy Economics |
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2022 | Heterogeneous Gains from Counter-cyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level data Oxford Economic Papers |
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2022 | Labor and Product Market Reforms and External Imbalances: Evidence from Advanced Economies Journal of International Money and Finance |
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2022 | Private and Public Consumption: Substitutes or Complements? Oxford Economic Papers |
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2022 | Do Tax Reforms affect Income Distribution? Evidence from Developing Countries Economic Modelling |
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2022 | Can Covid-19 Induce Governments to Implement Tax Reforms in Developing Countries? Applied Economics |
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2022 | Trend and Cycles in CO2 Emissions and Growth: Cross-country Evidence on Decoupling Journal of Macroeconomics |
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2022 | Do Credit Rating Agencies reward Fiscal Prudence? International Finance |
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2022 | Tax Buoyancy in Sub-Saharan Africa and its determinants International Tax and Public Finance |
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2022 | Emissions and Output: Decoupling Evidence from Brazilian States Journal of Developing Areas |
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2022 | An Apocalypse Foretold: Climate Shocks and Sovereign Defaults Open Economies Review |
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2021 | Heterogeneous Gains from Counter-cyclical Fiscal Policy: New Evidence from International Industry-level data Oxford Economic Papers |
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2021 | Structural tax reforms and public spending efficiency Open Economies Review |
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2021 | Taxation and public spending efficiency: An international comparison, Comparative Economic Studies |
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2021 | Promised Fiscal Expansions and Politics: A European Union Assessment Comparative Economic Studies |
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2021 | Recessions and Total Factor Productivity: Evidence from Sectoral data Economic Modelling |
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2021 | Fiscal Discipline and Exchange Rates: Does Politics Matter? Scottish Journal of Political Economy |
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2021 | Dynamics of Government Spending Cyclicality Economic Modelling |
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2021 | Tax Capacity and Growth in the Asia-Pacific Region Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy |
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2021 | Globalization, Freedoms and Economic convergence: an empirical exploration of a trivariate relationship using a large panel International Economics and Economic Policy |
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2020 | Economic Volatility and Sovereign Yields' Determinants: a Time-Varying Approach Empirical Economics |
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2020 | Emissions and Economic Development in Commodity Exporting Countries Energy Economics |
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2020 | Job Protection Deregulation in Good and Bad Times Oxford Economic Papers |
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2020 | The effects of Macroeconomic, fiscal and monetary policy announcements on sovereign bond spreads International Review of Law and Economics |
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2020 | On the Performance of US Fiscal Forecasts: Government vs. Private Information Journal of Economic Studies |
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2020 | The Impact of Financial Crises on the Environment in Developing Countries Annals of Finance |
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2020 | The volatility impact of social expenditure’s cyclicality in advanced economies Economic Analysis and Policy |
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2020 | Social expenditure cyclicality: New time-varying evidence in developing economies Economic Systems |
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2020 | Stock Flow Adjustments in Sovereign Debt Dynamics: The role of Fiscal Frameworks International Review of Economics and Finance |
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2020 | Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU Portuguese Economic Journal |
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2020 | Emissions and Economic Growth in Commodity Exporting Countries Energy Economics |
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2020 | A New Look into Fiscal Countercyclicality: Expectations, Shocks, and the Business Cycle FinanzArchiv |
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2019 | Assessing the Sustainability of External Imbalances in the European Union The World Economy |
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2019 | Quantitative Easing and Sovereign Yield Spreads: Euro-Area Time-Varying Evidence Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions & Money |
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2019 | The Global Crisis and Intergovernmental Relations: Centralisation vs. decentralisation Ten Years On Regional Studies |
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2019 | A Note on Inflation Dynamics, Price Volatility and Fiscal Activism Macroeconomic Dynamics |
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2019 | Explaining Africa’s Public Consumption Procyclicality: Revisiting Old Evidence International Finance |
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2019 | Sovereign indebtedness and financial and fiscal conditions Applied Economics Letters |
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2019 | On the Determinants of the Okun’s Law: New Evidence from Time-Varying Estimates Comparative Economic Studies |
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2019 | The Fiscal Consequences of Deflation: Evidence from the Golden Age of Globalization Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance |
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2019 | Sovereign Ratings and Finance Ministers' Characteristics ECONOMICS BULLETIN |
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2019 | Long-run relationship between exports and imports: current account sustainability tests for the EU Portuguese Economic Journal |
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2019 | Fiscal Rules and Government Financing Costs Fiscal Studies |
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2019 | Fiscal Reaction Functions Across the World: A Battle of Statistical (In-)Significance FinanzArchiv |
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2019 | An Assessment of the IMF’s Unemployment Forecasts Manchester School |
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2019 | Crises and emissions: New empirical evidence from a large sample Energy Policy |
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2019 | Cross‐country evidence on the determinants of inclusive growth episodes Review of Development Economics |
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2019 | Decoupling of emissions and GDP: Evidence from aggregate and provincial Chinese data Energy Economics |
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2019 | Do IMF forecasts respect Okun’s law? Evidence for advanced and developing economies International Journal of Forecasting |
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2019 | Fiscal counter-cyclicality and productive investment: evidence from advanced economies B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics: Advances/Contributions/Frontiers/Topics in Macroeconomics |
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2019 | How Do Macroeconomic Fundamentals Affect Sovereign Bond Yields? New Evidence from European Forecasts CESifo Economic Studies |
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2019 | Monetary Aggregates and Macroeconomic Performance: The Portuguese Escudo 1911–1999 International Economic Journal |
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2019 | Wagner’s law and governments’ functions: granularity matters Journal of Economic Studies |
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2018 | Decomposing and Analysing the Determinants of Current Accounts' Cyclicality: Evidence from the Euro Area Open Economies Review |
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2018 | European Commission’s Fiscal Forecasts in CEE countries: a Thorough Assessment Journal of Economic Policy Reform |
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Year | Title / Publication | Link |
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2021 | Do financial markets reward public spending efficiency? |
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2021 | Do financial markets reward public spending efficiency? |
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2020 | Taxation and public spending efficiency: An international comparison |
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2020 | Structural tax reforms and public spending efficiency |
Teaching
2024/2025
Semester | Course | Degree | Coordinator |
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2º | Macroeconomia I | Licenciatura Bolonha em Gestão - Gestão, Licenciatura Bolonha em Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão - Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão, Licenciatura Bolonha em Economia - Economia | No |
2º | Economia Monetária e Financeira | Licenciatura Bolonha em Gestão - Gestão, Licenciatura Bolonha em Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão - Matemática Aplicada à Economia e à Gestão, Licenciatura Bolonha em Economia - Economia | No |
1º | Análise da Informação Económica e Empresarial | Licenciatura Bolonha em Estudos Gerais - Estudos Gerais, Licenciatura Bolonha em Gestão - Gestão | No |
Year | Student Name / Title / Institution | Supervision Type | Link |
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2023/2024 | RUDOLFS BOJARS Renewable Energy Adoption Across Business Cycles Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão |
Master | Ver |
2022/2023 | JOÃO FRANCISCO COELHO SILVESTRE Crises and Financial Stress: an empirical exploration Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão |
Master | |
2022/2023 | FADY ATEF HALIM HANNA Determinants of Foreign Portfolio Investments in Emerging Markets Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão |
Master | Ver |
2021/2022 | MATTHIAS HEZEL IMPACT OF STRUCTURAL REFORMS ON CLIMATE CHANGE: EVIDENCE FROM 26 OECD COUNTRIES Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão |
Master | Ver |
2021/2022 | MADALENA COSTA SANTOS IVO DE CARVALHO DOES FISCAL POLICY AFFECT THE ENVIRONMENT? AN EMPIRICAL EXPLORATION Instituto Superior de Economia e Gestão |
Master | Ver |
2020/2021 | MATTHIAS HEZEL Structural Reforms and Climate Change |
Master | |
2020/2021 | FRANCISCA SAMPAIO XAVIER DE OLIVEIRA The Impact of Pandemics on Energy Consumption and Carbon Emissions |
Master | Ver |
2020/2021 | ROMY CAROLINE HOREMAN How will Covid19 affect Tourism: Evidence from Past Pandemics |
Master | Ver |
Professional Experience
Name / Description | Date | Organization |
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Senior Economist |
2019 - 2020 | PORTUGUESE PUBLIC FINANCE COUNCIL |
Invited Lecturer of Economics |
2012 - 2014 | Sciences Po |
Assistant Professor of Economics |
2011 - 2012 | University of Aberdeen |
Teaching Assistant and Teaching Fellow |
2009 - 2010 | Cambridge University |
Teaching Assistant |
2006 - 2007 | Fac. Econ. Univ. Nova Lisboa |